Blackburn Rovers beat Cardiff City 2–1. Bawler's model had Blackburn Rovers in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 17 shots (8 on target) to Cardiff City's 10 (1), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Blackburn Rovers beat Cardiff City 2–1. Bawler's model had Blackburn Rovers in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 17 shots (8 on target) to Cardiff City's 10 (1), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.0.
Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Cardiff City, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Blackburn Rovers 42%, the draw 26% and Cardiff City 31%.
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.0, Shots 17–10, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 5–2, Corners 11–6, Saves 0–5, Fouls 9–6, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 1–0.
Yes — both Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Blackburn Rovers or draw 69%, it finished Blackburn Rovers won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.