Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City prediction — Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK
Blackburn Rovers 42Draw 26Cardiff City 31
Our call before kickoff
69%
Blackburn Rovers or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
77%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Blackburn Rovers beat Cardiff City 2–1. Bawler's model had Blackburn Rovers in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 17 shots (8 on target) to Cardiff City's 10 (1), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.0.

Blackburn…Full-time statsCardiff City
41%Possession59%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.0
17Shots10
8Shots on target1
13Shots inside box8
5Big chances2
11Corners6
0Saves5
9Fouls6
4Offsides1
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBlackburn Rovers or draw 69%Blackburn Rovers won (42% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score58%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Blackburn RoversCardiff City
1.6
Goals+0.2
1.3
15.0
Shots+0.2
15.2
4.7
On target+3.0
7.7
6.0
Corners+2.0
8.0
Blackburn RoversCardiff City
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.6
6.2
Shots+0.7
6.9
1.9
On target+2.3
4.2
2.8
Corners+0.9
3.8
Blackburn RoversCardiff City
1.1
Goals+0.4
0.7
8.7
Shots+0.5
8.2
2.8
On target+0.7
3.5
3.2
Corners+1.0
4.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Blackburn Rovers to score79%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Cardiff City to score74%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Blackburn Rovers
45%
to score before half-time
Cardiff City
59%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%

Blackburn RoversCardiff City
6.21st-half shots6.9
1.91st-half shots on target4.2
2.81st-half corners3.8

First-half chances

55%Chance of 6+ shots63%
31%Chance of 8+ shots39%
31%Chance of 3+ shots on target75%
<10%Chance of 5+ shots on target40%
51%Chance of 3+ corners67%
18%Chance of 5+ corners33%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Blackburn Rovers6.28.7
Shots · Cardiff City6.98.2
Shots on target · Blackburn Rovers1.92.8
Shots on target · Cardiff City4.23.5
Corners · Blackburn Rovers2.83.2
Corners · Cardiff City3.84.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Blackburn Rovers form (last 6)D L L W D W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Blackburn Rovers 3 · Draws 1 · Cardiff City 1
Cardiff City in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2025Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Cardiff City
Nov 2024Cardiff City 1–3 Blackburn Rovers
Feb 2024Cardiff City 0–0 Blackburn Rovers
Oct 2023Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Cardiff City
Sept 2023Blackburn Rovers 5–2 Cardiff City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City?

Blackburn Rovers beat Cardiff City 2–1. Bawler's model had Blackburn Rovers in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 17 shots (8 on target) to Cardiff City's 10 (1), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City?

Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Cardiff City, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Blackburn Rovers 42%, the draw 26% and Cardiff City 31%.

What were the stats in Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City?

Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.0, Shots 17–10, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 5–2, Corners 11–6, Saves 0–5, Fouls 9–6, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City?

Yes — both Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Blackburn Rovers or draw 69%, it finished Blackburn Rovers won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Blackburn Rovers form →Cardiff City form →