ENGLAND: ChampionshipSaturday 15 Aug, 11:30 UTC
Bolton Wanderers v
Preston North End
Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Bolton Wanderers 48%Draw 30%Preston North End 22%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
81%
How we get there
Bolton WanderersstepPreston North End1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Over 3.5 goals
24%
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Preston average 3.6 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).
Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
More predictions for these teams
Bolton Wanderers vs Preston — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Bolton Wanderers and Preston — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Bolton Wanderers 48% · draw 30% · Preston 22%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
⚡ Full-time recap available
Bolton Wanderers 2–1 Preston North EndSee how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.