Bolton Wanderers beat Preston North End 2–1. Bawler's model had Bolton Wanderers in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Bolton Wanderers had 15 shots (6 on target) to Preston North End's 10 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.4, so Preston North End created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Bolton Wanderers beat Preston North End 2–1. Bawler's model had Bolton Wanderers in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Bolton Wanderers had 15 shots (6 on target) to Preston North End's 10 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.4, so Preston North End created the better chances and still lost the game.
Bolton Wanderers 2–1 Preston North End, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bolton Wanderers 48%, the draw 30% and Preston North End 22%.
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.4, Shots 15–10, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 7–9, Big chances 2–5, Corners 5–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 3–7, Yellow cards 2–3.
Yes — both Bolton Wanderers and Preston North End scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bolton Wanderers or draw 78%, it finished Bolton Wanderers won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.