How it finished
Bosnia-Herzegovina and Sweden drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Bosnia-Herzegovina at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Bosnia-Herzegovina had 4 shots (2 on target) to Sweden's 8 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Sweden?
Bosnia-Herzegovina and Sweden drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Bosnia-Herzegovina at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Bosnia-Herzegovina had 4 shots (2 on target) to Sweden's 8 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Sweden?
Bosnia-Herzegovina 1–1 Sweden, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bosnia-Herzegovina 47%, the draw 24% and Sweden 29%.
What were the stats in Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Sweden?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.1–1.1, Shots 4–8, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 2–6, Big chances 0–3, Corners 4–0, Saves 3–1, Fouls 8–11, Offsides 0–1.
Did both teams score in Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Sweden?
Yes — both Bosnia-Herzegovina and Sweden scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Sweden right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bosnia-Herzegovina or draw 71%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.