Bristol City vs Millwall prediction — Championship · Sat 15 Aug · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 15 Aug · 15:00 UK
Bristol City 42Draw 31Millwall 27
Our call before kickoff
73%
Bristol City or draw
Missed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
50%

How it finished

Millwall beat Bristol City 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Bristol City at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Millwall 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Bristol City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Millwall's 24 (3), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.0.

Bristol CityFull-time statsMillwall
34%Possession66%
0.5Expected goals (xG)3.0
8Shots24
0Shots on target3
2Shots inside box18
0Big chances4
6Corners6
2Saves0
8Fouls12
1Offsides3
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBristol City or draw 73%Millwall won (27% called)
Total goals2.72
Both teams to score54%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Bristol CityMillwall
1.5
Goals+0.3
1.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Bristol City to score78%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Millwall to score69%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Millwall in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Bristol City vs Millwall?

Millwall beat Bristol City 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Bristol City at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Millwall 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Bristol City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Millwall's 24 (3), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.0.

What was the final score in Bristol City vs Millwall?

Bristol City 0–2 Millwall, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bristol City 42%, the draw 31% and Millwall 27%.

What were the stats in Bristol City vs Millwall?

Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–3.0, Shots 8–24, Shots on target 0–3, Shots inside box 2–18, Big chances 0–4, Corners 6–6, Saves 2–0, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–2, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Bristol City vs Millwall?

No. It finished 0–2, so Bristol City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Bristol City vs Millwall right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bristol City or draw 73%, it finished Millwall won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Bristol City form →Millwall form →