ENGLAND: ChampionshipSaturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Bristol City vMillwall

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Bristol City 42%Draw 31%Millwall 27%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
80%
How we get there
Bristol CitystepMillwall
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Over 3.5 goals
23%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Bristol City average 5.0 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Millwall average 5.1 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Bristol City fixtures & form →Millwall fixtures & form →

Bristol City vs Millwall — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Bristol City and Millwall — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Bristol City 42% · draw 31% · Millwall 27%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Bristol City predictions & form →Millwall predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Bristol City 0–2 Millwall
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.