Millwall beat Bristol City 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Bristol City at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Millwall 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Bristol City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Millwall's 24 (3), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Millwall beat Bristol City 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Bristol City at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Millwall 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Bristol City had 8 shots (0 on target) to Millwall's 24 (3), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.0.
Bristol City 0–2 Millwall, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bristol City 42%, the draw 31% and Millwall 27%.
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–3.0, Shots 8–24, Shots on target 0–3, Shots inside box 2–18, Big chances 0–4, Corners 6–6, Saves 2–0, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–2, Red cards 1–0.
No. It finished 0–2, so Bristol City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bristol City or draw 73%, it finished Millwall won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.