How it finished
Cardiff City and Wrexham drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Cardiff City at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Cardiff City had 11 shots (3 on target) to Wrexham's 18 (8), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Cardiff City vs Wrexham?
Cardiff City and Wrexham drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Cardiff City at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 31%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Cardiff City had 11 shots (3 on target) to Wrexham's 18 (8), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.6.
What was the final score in Cardiff City vs Wrexham?
Cardiff City 1–1 Wrexham, played on 17 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cardiff City 48%, the draw 31% and Wrexham 21%.
What were the stats in Cardiff City vs Wrexham?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.6, Shots 11–18, Shots on target 3–8, Shots inside box 7–12, Big chances 1–2, Corners 9–9, Saves 7–2, Fouls 9–13, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Cardiff City vs Wrexham?
Yes — both Cardiff City and Wrexham scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Cardiff City vs Wrexham right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cardiff City or draw 79%, it finished Draw (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.