Anderlecht beat Cercle Brugge KSV 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Anderlecht 35%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Cercle Brugge KSV had 13 shots (7 on target) to Anderlecht's 11 (6), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Anderlecht beat Cercle Brugge KSV 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Anderlecht 35%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Cercle Brugge KSV had 13 shots (7 on target) to Anderlecht's 11 (6), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.8.
Cercle Brugge KSV 1–2 Anderlecht, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cercle Brugge KSV 40%, the draw 24% and Anderlecht 35%.
Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.8, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 0–3, Corners 5–5, Saves 4–6, Fouls 10–14, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both Cercle Brugge KSV and Anderlecht scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cercle Brugge KSV or draw 65%, it finished Anderlecht won (35% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.