Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK
Cercle Brugge KSV 40Draw 24Anderlecht 35
Our call before kickoff
65%
Cercle Brugge KSV or draw
Missed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
65%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
64%

How it finished

Anderlecht beat Cercle Brugge KSV 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Anderlecht 35%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Cercle Brugge KSV had 13 shots (7 on target) to Anderlecht's 11 (6), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.8.

Cercle Brugge…Full-time statsAnderlecht
35%Possession65%
0.7Expected goals (xG)0.8
13Shots11
7Shots on target6
11Shots inside box5
0Big chances3
5Corners5
4Saves6
10Fouls14
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCercle Brugge KSV or draw 65%Anderlecht won (35% called)
Total goals3.33
Both teams to score65%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Cercle Brugge KSVAnderlecht
1.7
Goals+0.1
1.6
11.8
Shots+5.6
17.5
2.9
On target+3.8
6.7
6.1
Corners+2.4
8.5
Cercle Brugge KSVAnderlecht
0.6
Goals+0.1
0.5
5.4
Shots+2.3
7.7
1.4
On target+1.4
2.7
2.8
Corners+1.2
4.0
Cercle Brugge KSVAnderlecht
1.1
Goals
1.1
6.5
Shots+3.3
9.8
1.5
On target+2.4
3.9
3.2
Corners+1.3
4.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals84%
Cercle Brugge KSV to score82%
Anderlecht to score79%
Over 2.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Cercle Brugge KSV
57%
to score before half-time
Anderlecht
50%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

Cercle Brugge KSVAnderlecht
5.41st-half shots7.7
1.41st-half shots on target2.7
2.81st-half corners4.0

First-half chances

31%Chance of 7+ shots60%
14%Chance of 9+ shots37%
39%Chance of 2+ shots on target72%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target30%
51%Chance of 3+ corners71%
19%Chance of 5+ corners37%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Cercle Brugge KSV5.46.5
Shots · Anderlecht7.79.8
Shots on target · Cercle Brugge KSV1.41.5
Shots on target · Anderlecht2.73.9
Corners · Cercle Brugge KSV2.83.2
Corners · Anderlecht4.04.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Cercle Brugge KSV form (last 6)L L L D L L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Cercle Brugge KSV 1 · Draws 1 · Anderlecht 3
Anderlecht in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Mar 2026Anderlecht 2–3 Cercle Brugge
Aug 2025Cercle Brugge 0–2 Anderlecht
Mar 2025Anderlecht 3–0 Cercle Brugge
Nov 2024Cercle Brugge 0–5 Anderlecht
Apr 2024Cercle Brugge 1–1 Anderlecht
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht?

Anderlecht beat Cercle Brugge KSV 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Anderlecht 35%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Cercle Brugge KSV had 13 shots (7 on target) to Anderlecht's 11 (6), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht?

Cercle Brugge KSV 1–2 Anderlecht, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cercle Brugge KSV 40%, the draw 24% and Anderlecht 35%.

What were the stats in Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht?

Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.8, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 0–3, Corners 5–5, Saves 4–6, Fouls 10–14, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht?

Yes — both Cercle Brugge KSV and Anderlecht scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Cercle Brugge KSV vs Anderlecht right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cercle Brugge KSV or draw 65%, it finished Anderlecht won (35% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Cercle Brugge KSV form →Anderlecht form →