Lommel SK beat Cercle Brugge KSV 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lommel SK 23%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Cercle Brugge KSV had 19 shots (3 on target) to Lommel SK's 14 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Lommel SK beat Cercle Brugge KSV 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lommel SK 23%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Cercle Brugge KSV had 19 shots (3 on target) to Lommel SK's 14 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.6.
Cercle Brugge KSV 0–1 Lommel SK, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cercle Brugge KSV 54%, the draw 24% and Lommel SK 23%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.6, Shots 19–14, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 1–3, Corners 9–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 2–3.
No. It finished 0–1, so Cercle Brugge KSV failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cercle Brugge KSV or draw 77%, it finished Lommel SK won (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Cercle Brugge KSV to win 54%, it finished Missed.