Cercle Brugge KSV vs Lommel SK prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sat 29 Aug · 19:45 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sat 29 Aug · 19:45 UK
Cercle Brugge KSV 54Draw 24Lommel SK 23
Our call before kickoff
77%
Cercle Brugge KSV or draw
Missed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
76%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Lommel SK beat Cercle Brugge KSV 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lommel SK 23%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Cercle Brugge KSV had 19 shots (3 on target) to Lommel SK's 14 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.6.

Cercle Brugge…Full-time statsLommel SK
53%Possession47%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.6
19Shots14
3Shots on target3
13Shots inside box9
1Big chances3
9Corners4
2Saves3
10Fouls10
3Offsides0
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCercle Brugge KSV or draw 77%Lommel SK won (23% called)
Total goals3.11
Both teams to score59%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Missed
Second pickCercle Brugge KSV to win 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Cercle Brugge KSVLommel SK
1.9
Goals+0.7
1.2
17.2
Shots+3.2
14.0
4.6
On target+0.4
5.0
5.8
Corners+1.2
4.6
Cercle Brugge KSVLommel SK
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
7.8
Shots+1.4
6.4
2.2
On target
2.2
2.7
Corners+0.5
2.2
Cercle Brugge KSVLommel SK
1.3
Goals+0.5
0.8
9.4
Shots+1.8
7.6
2.4
On target+0.3
2.7
3.1
Corners+0.6
2.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Cercle Brugge KSV to score85%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Lommel SK to score69%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Cercle Brugge KSV
60%
to score before half-time
Lommel SK
40%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%

Cercle Brugge KSVLommel SK
7.81st-half shots6.4
2.21st-half shots on target2.2
2.71st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

60%Chance of 7+ shots44%
38%Chance of 9+ shots23%
85%Chance of 1+ shots on target86%
37%Chance of 3+ shots on target38%
70%Chance of 2+ corners59%
30%Chance of 4+ corners20%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Cercle Brugge KSV7.89.4
Shots · Lommel SK6.47.6
Shots on target · Cercle Brugge KSV2.22.4
Shots on target · Lommel SK2.22.7
Corners · Cercle Brugge KSV2.73.1
Corners · Lommel SK2.22.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Cercle Brugge KSV 4 · Draws 0 · Lommel SK 1
Lommel SK in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2017Lommel 0–1 Cercle Brugge
Mar 2017Cercle Brugge 0–5 Lommel
Feb 2017Lommel 0–1 Cercle Brugge
Nov 2016Cercle Brugge 1–0 Lommel
Oct 2016Cercle Brugge 3–1 Lommel
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Cercle Brugge KSV vs Lommel SK?

Lommel SK beat Cercle Brugge KSV 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lommel SK 23%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Cercle Brugge KSV had 19 shots (3 on target) to Lommel SK's 14 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.6.

What was the final score in Cercle Brugge KSV vs Lommel SK?

Cercle Brugge KSV 0–1 Lommel SK, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cercle Brugge KSV 54%, the draw 24% and Lommel SK 23%.

What were the stats in Cercle Brugge KSV vs Lommel SK?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.6, Shots 19–14, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 1–3, Corners 9–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Cercle Brugge KSV vs Lommel SK?

No. It finished 0–1, so Cercle Brugge KSV failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Cercle Brugge KSV vs Lommel SK right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cercle Brugge KSV or draw 77%, it finished Lommel SK won (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Cercle Brugge KSV to win 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Cercle Brugge KSV form →Lommel SK form →