How it finished
CF Montréal beat FC Cincinnati 3–1. Bawler's model had CF Montréal in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. CF Montréal had 15 shots (5 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 18 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 86%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won CF Montréal vs FC Cincinnati?
CF Montréal beat FC Cincinnati 3–1. Bawler's model had CF Montréal in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. CF Montréal had 15 shots (5 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 18 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 2.0.
What was the final score in CF Montréal vs FC Cincinnati?
CF Montréal 3–1 FC Cincinnati, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with CF Montréal 39%, the draw 24% and FC Cincinnati 37%.
What were the stats in CF Montréal vs FC Cincinnati?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–2.0, Shots 15–18, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 3–4, Corners 4–6, Saves 3–2, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in CF Montréal vs FC Cincinnati?
Yes — both CF Montréal and FC Cincinnati scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for CF Montréal vs FC Cincinnati right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said CF Montréal or draw 63%, it finished CF Montréal won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.