Charlotte FC beat Columbus Crew 3–1. Bawler's model had Charlotte FC in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Charlotte FC had 9 shots (7 on target) to Columbus Crew's 26 (4), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Charlotte FC beat Columbus Crew 3–1. Bawler's model had Charlotte FC in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Charlotte FC had 9 shots (7 on target) to Columbus Crew's 26 (4), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.4.
Charlotte FC 3–1 Columbus Crew, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlotte FC 41%, the draw 31% and Columbus Crew 28%.
Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.4, Shots 9–26, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 7–17, Big chances 5–1, Corners 1–13, Saves 3–3, Fouls 9–9, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 3–0.
Yes — both Charlotte FC and Columbus Crew scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Charlotte FC or draw 72%, it finished Charlotte FC won (41% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.