USA: MLSSaturday 15 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Charlotte FC vColumbus Crew

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Charlotte FC 41%Draw 31%Columbus Crew 28%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
81%
How we get there
Charlotte FCstepColumbus Crew
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Over 3.5 goals
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Charlotte average 4.1 corners per game at home this season (29 competitive matches). Columbus Crew average 4.8 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Charlotte vs Columbus Crew — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Charlotte and Columbus Crew — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Charlotte 41% · draw 31% · Columbus Crew 28%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Charlotte FC 31 Columbus Crew
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.