How it finished
Chelsea beat AFC Bournemouth 5–1. Bawler's model had Chelsea in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 6. Chelsea had 10 shots (6 on target) to AFC Bournemouth's 9 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.5, so AFC Bournemouth created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Chelsea beat AFC Bournemouth 5–1. Bawler's model had Chelsea in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 6. Chelsea had 10 shots (6 on target) to AFC Bournemouth's 9 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.5, so AFC Bournemouth created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Chelsea 5–1 AFC Bournemouth, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Chelsea 44%, the draw 24% and AFC Bournemouth 31%.
What were the stats in Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.5, Shots 10–9, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 2–3, Corners 1–7, Saves 3–1, Fouls 7–15, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–4.
Did both teams score in Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Yes — both Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Chelsea or draw 69%, it finished Chelsea won (44% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.