Club Brugge vs Racing Genk prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sun 20 Sept · 17:30 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sun 20 Sept · 17:30 UK
Club Brugge 54Draw 23Racing Genk 23
Our call before kickoff
77%
Club Brugge or draw
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
78%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
64%

How it finished

Club Brugge beat Racing Genk 3–0. Bawler's model had Club Brugge in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Club Brugge had 24 shots (7 on target) to Racing Genk's 19 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 2.0.

Club BruggeFull-time statsRacing Genk
61%Possession39%
2.1Expected goals (xG)2.0
24Shots19
7Shots on target2
17Shots inside box10
3Big chances3
8Corners2
2Saves3
7Fouls11
2Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callClub Brugge or draw 77%Club Brugge won (54% called)
Total goals3.33
Both teams to score62%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed
Second pickClub Brugge to win 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Club BruggeRacing Genk
2.0
Goals+0.8
1.3
12.2
Shots+1.2
11.0
4.5
On target+0.2
4.8
7.3
Corners+3.7
3.6
Club BruggeRacing Genk
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
5.8
Shots+0.7
5.0
2.1
On target
2.1
3.4
Corners+1.7
1.7
Club BruggeRacing Genk
1.4
Goals+0.6
0.8
6.4
Shots+0.4
6.0
2.4
On target+0.2
2.6
3.9
Corners+2.0
1.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Club Brugge to score87%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Racing Genk to score72%
Over 2.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Club Brugge
62%
to score before half-time
Racing Genk
43%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%

Club BruggeRacing Genk
5.81st-half shots5.0
2.11st-half shots on target2.1
3.41st-half corners1.7

First-half chances

62%Chance of 5+ shots52%
36%Chance of 7+ shots27%
84%Chance of 1+ shots on target85%
35%Chance of 3+ shots on target36%
81%Chance of 2+ corners47%
43%Chance of 4+ corners12%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Club Brugge5.86.4
Shots · Racing Genk5.06.0
Shots on target · Club Brugge2.12.4
Shots on target · Racing Genk2.12.6
Corners · Club Brugge3.43.9
Corners · Racing Genk1.71.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
Racing Genk in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Club Brugge vs Racing Genk?

Club Brugge beat Racing Genk 3–0. Bawler's model had Club Brugge in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Club Brugge had 24 shots (7 on target) to Racing Genk's 19 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 2.0.

What was the final score in Club Brugge vs Racing Genk?

Club Brugge 3–0 Racing Genk, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Club Brugge 54%, the draw 23% and Racing Genk 23%.

What were the stats in Club Brugge vs Racing Genk?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–2.0, Shots 24–19, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 17–10, Big chances 3–3, Corners 8–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 7–11, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Club Brugge vs Racing Genk?

No. It finished 3–0, so Racing Genk failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Club Brugge vs Racing Genk right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Club Brugge or draw 77%, it finished Club Brugge won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Club Brugge to win 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Club Brugge form →Racing Genk form →