Alanyaspor beat Çorum FK 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Çorum FK at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 21%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Çorum FK had 12 shots (5 on target) to Alanyaspor's 9 (5), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Alanyaspor beat Çorum FK 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Çorum FK at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 21%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Çorum FK had 12 shots (5 on target) to Alanyaspor's 9 (5), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.
Çorum FK 1–2 Alanyaspor, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Çorum FK 54%, the draw 24% and Alanyaspor 21%.
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.2, Shots 12–9, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 3–2, Corners 3–3, Saves 3–4, Fouls 21–8, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 4–0.
Yes — both Çorum FK and Alanyaspor scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Çorum FK or draw 79%, it finished Alanyaspor won (21% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Çorum FK to win 54%, it finished Missed.