Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 19 Sept · 15:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 19 Sept · 15:00 UK
Çorum FK 54Draw 24Alanyaspor 21
Our call before kickoff
79%
Çorum FK or draw
Missed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Alanyaspor beat Çorum FK 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Çorum FK at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 21%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Çorum FK had 12 shots (5 on target) to Alanyaspor's 9 (5), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.

Çorum FKFull-time statsAlanyaspor
66%Possession34%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.2
12Shots9
5Shots on target5
7Shots inside box6
3Big chances2
3Corners3
3Saves4
21Fouls8
1Offsides0
4Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callÇorum FK or draw 79%Alanyaspor won (21% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score56%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed
Second pickÇorum FK to win 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Çorum FKAlanyaspor
1.8
Goals+0.8
1.1
13.6
Shots+4.8
18.4
5.3
On target+2.0
3.3
4.8
Corners+1.9
6.7
Çorum FKAlanyaspor
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
6.2
Shots+1.8
8.0
2.1
On target+0.7
1.4
2.3
Corners+0.9
3.2
Çorum FKAlanyaspor
1.3
Goals+0.6
0.7
7.4
Shots+3.0
10.4
3.1
On target+1.3
1.9
2.6
Corners+1.0
3.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Çorum FK to score84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals66%
Alanyaspor to score66%

First half — what we expected

Çorum FK
54%
to score before half-time
Alanyaspor
40%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

Çorum FKAlanyaspor
6.21st-half shots8.0
2.11st-half shots on target1.4
2.31st-half corners3.2

First-half chances

42%Chance of 7+ shots63%
21%Chance of 9+ shots40%
85%Chance of 1+ shots on target71%
35%Chance of 3+ shots on target18%
61%Chance of 2+ corners77%
22%Chance of 4+ corners38%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Çorum FK6.27.4
Shots · Alanyaspor8.010.4
Shots on target · Çorum FK2.13.1
Shots on target · Alanyaspor1.41.9
Corners · Çorum FK2.32.6
Corners · Alanyaspor3.23.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 1Çorum FK 0 · Draws 0 · Alanyaspor 1
Alanyaspor in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Dec 2025Çorum FK 0–5 Alanyaspor
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor?

Alanyaspor beat Çorum FK 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Çorum FK at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Alanyaspor 21%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Çorum FK had 12 shots (5 on target) to Alanyaspor's 9 (5), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor?

Çorum FK 1–2 Alanyaspor, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Çorum FK 54%, the draw 24% and Alanyaspor 21%.

What were the stats in Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor?

Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.2, Shots 12–9, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 3–2, Corners 3–3, Saves 3–4, Fouls 21–8, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 4–0.

Did both teams score in Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor?

Yes — both Çorum FK and Alanyaspor scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Çorum FK or draw 79%, it finished Alanyaspor won (21% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Çorum FK to win 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Çorum FK form →Alanyaspor form →