Coventry City vs Hull City prediction — Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
Coventry City 66Draw 20Hull City 15
Our call before kickoff
66%
Coventry City to win
Missed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
77%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
65%

How it finished

Hull City beat Coventry City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Coventry City at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hull City 15%. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Coventry City had 11 shots (3 on target) to Hull City's 6 (2), with 69% of the ball against 31%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.7, so Coventry City created the better chances and still lost the game.

Coventry CityFull-time statsHull City
69%Possession31%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.7
11Shots6
3Shots on target2
7Shots inside box2
1Big chances1
6Corners2
1Saves3
11Fouls8
3Offsides0
1Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCoventry City to win 66%Hull City won (15% called)
Total goals3.41
Both teams to score58%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Coventry CityHull City
2.3
Goals+1.3
1.0
21.4
Shots+12.3
9.1
6.9
On target+3.5
3.3
7.9
Corners+4.1
3.8
Coventry CityHull City
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
9.9
Shots+5.9
3.9
3.0
On target+1.6
1.5
3.7
Corners+1.9
1.8
Coventry CityHull City
1.7
Goals+1.1
0.6
11.5
Shots+6.4
5.1
3.8
On target+1.9
1.9
4.2
Corners+2.2
2.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Coventry City to score90%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Hull City to score64%

First half — what we expected

Coventry City
62%
to score before half-time
Hull City
41%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%

Coventry CityHull City
9.91st-half shots3.9
3.01st-half shots on target1.5
3.71st-half corners1.8

First-half chances

61%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
40%Chance of 11+ shots<10%
77%Chance of 2+ shots on target41%
36%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
67%Chance of 3+ corners27%
33%Chance of 5+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Coventry City9.911.5
Shots · Hull City3.95.1
Shots on target · Coventry City3.03.8
Shots on target · Hull City1.51.9
Corners · Coventry City3.74.2
Corners · Hull City1.82.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Coventry City 1 · Draws 3 · Hull City 1
Hull City in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026Hull City 0–0 Coventry City
Aug 2025Coventry City 0–0 Hull City
Apr 2025Hull City 1–1 Coventry City
Dec 2024Coventry City 2–1 Hull City
Apr 2024Coventry City 2–3 Hull City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Coventry City vs Hull City?

Hull City beat Coventry City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Coventry City at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hull City 15%. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Coventry City had 11 shots (3 on target) to Hull City's 6 (2), with 69% of the ball against 31%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.7, so Coventry City created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Coventry City vs Hull City?

Coventry City 0–1 Hull City, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Coventry City 66%, the draw 20% and Hull City 15%.

What were the stats in Coventry City vs Hull City?

Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.7, Shots 11–6, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 7–2, Big chances 1–1, Corners 6–2, Saves 1–3, Fouls 11–8, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in Coventry City vs Hull City?

No. It finished 0–1, so Coventry City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Coventry City vs Hull City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Coventry City to win 66%, it finished Hull City won (15% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Coventry City form →Hull City form →