New England Revolution beat D.C. United 3–0. Bawler's model favoured D.C. United at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 33%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. D.C. United had 15 shots (3 on target) to New England Revolution's 18 (7), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 3.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
New England Revolution beat D.C. United 3–0. Bawler's model favoured D.C. United at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 33%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. D.C. United had 15 shots (3 on target) to New England Revolution's 18 (7), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 3.0.
D.C. United 0–3 New England Revolution, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with D.C. United 40%, the draw 27% and New England Revolution 33%.
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–3.0, Shots 15–18, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 12–13, Big chances 4–4, Corners 4–5, Saves 4–3, Fouls 15–10, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 0–3, so D.C. United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said D.C. United or draw 67%, it finished New England Revolution won (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 50%, it finished Landed.