Dundee beat Dundee United 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Dundee United at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Dundee United had 23 shots (5 on target) to Dundee's 14 (4), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Dundee beat Dundee United 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Dundee United at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Dundee United had 23 shots (5 on target) to Dundee's 14 (4), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.6.
Dundee United 0–2 Dundee, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the SCOTLAND: Premiership. Bawler's model had gone into it with Dundee United 47%, the draw 26% and Dundee 26%.
Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.6, Shots 23–14, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 12–8, Big chances 2–1, Corners 6–5, Saves 2–4, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 4–3.
No. It finished 0–2, so Dundee United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Dundee United or draw 74%, it finished Dundee won (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed.