How it finished
Académico de Viseu beat Estrela 2–0. Bawler's model had Académico de Viseu in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Estrela had 16 shots (2 on target) to Académico de Viseu's 8 (4), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Estrela vs Académico de Viseu?
Académico de Viseu beat Estrela 2–0. Bawler's model had Académico de Viseu in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Estrela had 16 shots (2 on target) to Académico de Viseu's 8 (4), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.6.
What was the final score in Estrela vs Académico de Viseu?
Estrela 0–2 Académico de Viseu, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Estrela 34%, the draw 26% and Académico de Viseu 40%.
What were the stats in Estrela vs Académico de Viseu?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–2.6, Shots 16–8, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 10–6, Big chances 1–3, Corners 5–2, Saves 2–2, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Estrela vs Académico de Viseu?
No. It finished 0–2, so Estrela failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Estrela vs Académico de Viseu right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Académico de Viseu or draw 66%, it finished Académico de Viseu won (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.