How it finished
Dundee beat Falkirk 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Falkirk at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee 24%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Falkirk had 16 shots (5 on target) to Dundee's 23 (10), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 2.1 to 1.5, so Falkirk created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Falkirk vs Dundee?
Dundee beat Falkirk 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Falkirk at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Dundee 24%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Falkirk had 16 shots (5 on target) to Dundee's 23 (10), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 2.1 to 1.5, so Falkirk created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Falkirk vs Dundee?
Falkirk 1–2 Dundee, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Falkirk 51%, the draw 26% and Dundee 24%.
What were the stats in Falkirk vs Dundee?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.5, Shots 16–23, Shots on target 5–10, Shots inside box 11–17, Big chances 1–2, Corners 3–10, Saves 8–4, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 1–1.
Did both teams score in Falkirk vs Dundee?
Yes — both Falkirk and Dundee scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Falkirk vs Dundee right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Falkirk or draw 76%, it finished Dundee won (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 54%, it finished Landed.