USA: MLSSaturday 22 Aug, 23:30 UTC

FC Cincinnati vSeattle Sounders FC

Most likely scoreline
1–1
10% of the time · 3.25 goals expected
FC Cincinnati 44%Draw 28%Seattle Sounders FC 28%
How we get there
FC CincinnatistepSeattle Sounders FC
1.82Base xG · rolling 26-match1.44
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.82Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.44

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Cincinnati average 4.6 corners per game at home this season (28 competitive matches). Seattle Sounders average 5.3 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
6
4
2
1
1
7
10
7
3
1
2
6
9
7
3
1
3
4
6
4
2
1
4
2
3
2
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

FC Cincinnati fixtures & form →Seattle Sounders FC fixtures & form →

Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Cincinnati 44% · draw 28% · Seattle Sounders 28%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Cincinnati predictions & form →Seattle Sounders predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.