FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Cincinnati at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Cincinnati had 17 shots (9 on target) to Seattle Sounders FC's 10 (3), with 70% of the ball against 30%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Cincinnati at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Cincinnati had 17 shots (9 on target) to Seattle Sounders FC's 10 (3), with 70% of the ball against 30%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.4.
FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders FC, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Cincinnati 41%, the draw 25% and Seattle Sounders FC 35%.
Full-time: Possession 70%–30%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.4, Shots 17–10, Shots on target 9–3, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 6–3, Corners 9–4, Saves 2–7, Fouls 7–14, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders FC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Cincinnati or draw 65%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.