Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:30 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:30 UK
Ferencvaros 54Draw 25Trabzonspor 22
Our call before kickoff
78%
Ferencvaros or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

Ferencvaros beat Trabzonspor 4–0. Bawler's model had Ferencvaros in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Ferencvaros had 27 shots (11 on target) to Trabzonspor's 6 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.5.

FerencvarosFull-time statsTrabzonspor
68%Possession32%
3.7Expected goals (xG)0.5
27Shots6
11Shots on target2
19Shots inside box3
6Big chances1
9Corners4
2Saves7
10Fouls14
2Offsides0
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFerencvaros or draw 78%Ferencvaros won (54% called)
Total goals2.84
Both teams to score54%No
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

FerencvarosTrabzonspor
1.8
Goals+0.7
1.1
14.2
Shots+3.9
10.3
4.2
On target+0.9
3.3
4.3
Corners+0.2
4.5
FerencvarosTrabzonspor
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
6.7
Shots+2.0
4.6
1.6
On target+0.1
1.5
2.0
Corners+0.1
2.1
FerencvarosTrabzonspor
1.2
Goals+0.6
0.7
7.5
Shots+1.9
5.6
2.6
On target+0.8
1.8
2.3
Corners+0.1
2.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Ferencvaros to score83%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals68%
Trabzonspor to score65%

First half — what we expected

Ferencvaros
55%
to score before half-time
Trabzonspor
38%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

FerencvarosTrabzonspor
6.71st-half shots4.6
1.61st-half shots on target1.5
2.01st-half corners2.1

First-half chances

60%Chance of 6+ shots33%
36%Chance of 8+ shots14%
76%Chance of 1+ shots on target74%
23%Chance of 3+ shots on target21%
82%Chance of 1+ corners83%
33%Chance of 3+ corners34%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Ferencvaros6.77.5
Shots · Trabzonspor4.65.6
Shots on target · Ferencvaros1.62.6
Shots on target · Trabzonspor1.51.8
Corners · Ferencvaros2.02.3
Corners · Trabzonspor2.12.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Ferencvaros 1 · Draws 0 · Trabzonspor 1
Trabzonspor in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Nov 2022Trabzonspor 1–0 Ferencvaros
Sept 2022Ferencvaros 3–2 Trabzonspor
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor?

Ferencvaros beat Trabzonspor 4–0. Bawler's model had Ferencvaros in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Ferencvaros had 27 shots (11 on target) to Trabzonspor's 6 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor?

Ferencvaros 4–0 Trabzonspor, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ferencvaros 54%, the draw 25% and Trabzonspor 22%.

What were the stats in Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor?

Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–0.5, Shots 27–6, Shots on target 11–2, Shots inside box 19–3, Big chances 6–1, Corners 9–4, Saves 2–7, Fouls 10–14, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor?

No. It finished 4–0, so Trabzonspor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ferencvaros or draw 78%, it finished Ferencvaros won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Ferencvaros form →Trabzonspor form →