Ferencvaros beat Trabzonspor 4–0. Bawler's model had Ferencvaros in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Ferencvaros had 27 shots (11 on target) to Trabzonspor's 6 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Ferencvaros beat Trabzonspor 4–0. Bawler's model had Ferencvaros in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Ferencvaros had 27 shots (11 on target) to Trabzonspor's 6 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.5.
Ferencvaros 4–0 Trabzonspor, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ferencvaros 54%, the draw 25% and Trabzonspor 22%.
Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–0.5, Shots 27–6, Shots on target 11–2, Shots inside box 19–3, Big chances 6–1, Corners 9–4, Saves 2–7, Fouls 10–14, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 0–2.
No. It finished 4–0, so Trabzonspor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ferencvaros or draw 78%, it finished Ferencvaros won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.