Feyenoord Rotterdam beat AZ Alkmaar 2–0. Bawler's model had Feyenoord Rotterdam in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Feyenoord Rotterdam had 15 shots (4 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 12 (2), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Feyenoord Rotterdam beat AZ Alkmaar 2–0. Bawler's model had Feyenoord Rotterdam in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Feyenoord Rotterdam had 15 shots (4 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 12 (2), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.0.
Feyenoord Rotterdam 2–0 AZ Alkmaar, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Feyenoord Rotterdam 50%, the draw 23% and AZ Alkmaar 26%.
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.0, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 8–9, Big chances 6–0, Corners 7–6, Saves 2–2, Fouls 12–15, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–3.
No. It finished 2–0, so AZ Alkmaar failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw 74%, it finished Feyenoord Rotterdam won (50% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Feyenoord Rotterdam to win 50%, it finished Landed.