Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 10 Oct · 17:45 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 10 Oct · 17:45 UK
Feyenoord Rotterdam 50Draw 23AZ Alkmaar 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
63%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
63%

How it finished

Feyenoord Rotterdam beat AZ Alkmaar 2–0. Bawler's model had Feyenoord Rotterdam in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Feyenoord Rotterdam had 15 shots (4 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 12 (2), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.0.

Feyenoord…Full-time statsAZ Alkmaar
42%Possession58%
2.2Expected goals (xG)1.0
15Shots12
4Shots on target2
8Shots inside box9
6Big chances0
7Corners6
2Saves2
12Fouls15
0Offsides3
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFeyenoord Rotterdam or draw 74%Feyenoord Rotterdam won (50% called)
Total goals3.32
Both teams to score63%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed
Second pickFeyenoord Rotterdam to win 50%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Feyenoord RotterdamAZ Alkmaar
1.9
Goals+0.6
1.3
12.0
Shots+3.5
8.5
6.3
On target+1.3
5.0
4.6
Corners+1.4
5.9
Feyenoord RotterdamAZ Alkmaar
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
5.6
Shots+1.9
3.6
2.9
On target+0.9
2.1
2.1
Corners+0.6
2.8
Feyenoord RotterdamAZ Alkmaar
1.3
Goals+0.4
1.0
6.4
Shots+1.6
4.8
3.3
On target+0.4
3.0
2.4
Corners+0.7
3.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Feyenoord Rotterdam to score85%
Over 1.5 goals84%
AZ Alkmaar to score74%
Over 2.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Feyenoord Rotterdam
58%
to score before half-time
AZ Alkmaar
36%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Feyenoord RotterdamAZ Alkmaar
5.61st-half shots3.6
2.91st-half shots on target2.1
2.11st-half corners2.8

First-half chances

60%Chance of 5+ shots31%
34%Chance of 7+ shots12%
75%Chance of 2+ shots on target58%
34%Chance of 4+ shots on target18%
58%Chance of 2+ corners71%
19%Chance of 4+ corners31%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Feyenoord Rotterdam5.66.4
Shots · AZ Alkmaar3.64.8
Shots on target · Feyenoord Rotterdam2.93.3
Shots on target · AZ Alkmaar2.13.0
Corners · Feyenoord Rotterdam2.12.4
Corners · AZ Alkmaar2.83.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Feyenoord Rotterdam form (last 6)D W L W W W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Feyenoord Rotterdam 3 · Draws 2 · AZ Alkmaar 0
AZ Alkmaar in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

May 2026Feyenoord 1–1 AZ Alkmaar
Sept 2025AZ Alkmaar 3–3 Feyenoord
Apr 2025AZ Alkmaar 0–1 Feyenoord
Nov 2024Feyenoord 3–2 AZ Alkmaar
Feb 2024Feyenoord 2–0 AZ Alkmaar
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?

Feyenoord Rotterdam beat AZ Alkmaar 2–0. Bawler's model had Feyenoord Rotterdam in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Feyenoord Rotterdam had 15 shots (4 on target) to AZ Alkmaar's 12 (2), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?

Feyenoord Rotterdam 2–0 AZ Alkmaar, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Feyenoord Rotterdam 50%, the draw 23% and AZ Alkmaar 26%.

What were the stats in Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?

Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.0, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 8–9, Big chances 6–0, Corners 7–6, Saves 2–2, Fouls 12–15, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?

No. It finished 2–0, so AZ Alkmaar failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw 74%, it finished Feyenoord Rotterdam won (50% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Feyenoord Rotterdam to win 50%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →Feyenoord Rotterdam form →AZ Alkmaar form →