How it finished
Fiji beat Papua New Guinea 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Papua New Guinea at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fiji 26%. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Fiji had 8 shots (6 on target) to Papua New Guinea's 8 (3), with 56% of the ball against 44%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Fiji vs Papua New Guinea?
Fiji beat Papua New Guinea 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Papua New Guinea at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fiji 26%. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Fiji had 8 shots (6 on target) to Papua New Guinea's 8 (3), with 56% of the ball against 44%.
What was the final score in Fiji vs Papua New Guinea?
Fiji 2–0 Papua New Guinea, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fiji 26%, the draw 24% and Papua New Guinea 50%.
What were the stats in Fiji vs Papua New Guinea?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Shots 8–8, Shots on target 6–3, Corners 3–2, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Fiji vs Papua New Guinea?
No. It finished 2–0, so Papua New Guinea failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Fiji vs Papua New Guinea right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Papua New Guinea or draw 74%, it finished Fiji won (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Papua New Guinea to win 50%, it finished Missed.