How it finished
Fiji and Solomon Islands drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Fiji at 67% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 16%. It forecast 4.5 goals; the match produced 6. Fiji had 6 shots (6 on target) to Solomon Islands' 6 (6), with 41% of the ball against 59%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 86%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Fiji vs Solomon Islands?
Fiji and Solomon Islands drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Fiji at 67% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 16%. It forecast 4.5 goals; the match produced 6. Fiji had 6 shots (6 on target) to Solomon Islands' 6 (6), with 41% of the ball against 59%.
What was the final score in Fiji vs Solomon Islands?
Fiji 3–3 Solomon Islands, played on 18 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fiji 67%, the draw 16% and Solomon Islands 16%.
What were the stats in Fiji vs Solomon Islands?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Shots 6–6, Shots on target 6–6, Corners 4–6, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Fiji vs Solomon Islands?
Yes — both Fiji and Solomon Islands scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 74% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Fiji vs Solomon Islands right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fiji to win 67%, it finished Draw (16% called); Total goals — we said 4.5, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 74%, it finished Yes.