How it finished
Fortuna Sittard and FC Twente drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Twente at 63% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Fortuna Sittard had 14 shots (5 on target) to FC Twente's 12 (6), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente?
Fortuna Sittard and FC Twente drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Twente at 63% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Fortuna Sittard had 14 shots (5 on target) to FC Twente's 12 (6), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente?
Fortuna Sittard 1–1 FC Twente, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fortuna Sittard 16%, the draw 21% and FC Twente 63%.
What were the stats in Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente?
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.2, Shots 14–12, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 2–1, Corners 5–7, Saves 5–4, Fouls 9–21, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente?
Yes — both Fortuna Sittard and FC Twente scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Twente to win 63%, it finished Draw (21% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.