Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK prediction — Süper Lig · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00 UK
Gaziantep FK 39Draw 26Çorum FK 36
Our call before kickoff
64%
Gaziantep FK or draw
Missed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
61%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Çorum FK beat Gaziantep FK 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Gaziantep FK at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Çorum FK 36%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Gaziantep FK had 13 shots (2 on target) to Çorum FK's 13 (7), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.4.

Gaziantep FKFull-time statsÇorum FK
54%Possession46%
1.4Expected goals (xG)2.4
13Shots13
2Shots on target7
8Shots inside box11
3Big chances3
9Corners5
4Saves2
6Fouls10
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGaziantep FK or draw 64%Çorum FK won (36% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score61%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Gaziantep FKÇorum FK
1.6
Goals+0.1
1.5
24.5
Shots+11.5
12.9
4.0
On target+1.8
5.8
3.7
Corners+0.9
4.6
Gaziantep FKÇorum FK
0.6
Goals+0.1
0.4
10.9
Shots+5.0
5.8
1.7
On target+0.7
2.4
1.8
Corners+0.4
2.2
Gaziantep FKÇorum FK
1.0
Goals+0.1
1.1
13.6
Shots+6.5
7.1
2.3
On target+1.1
3.4
2.0
Corners+0.5
2.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals81%
Gaziantep FK to score79%
Çorum FK to score77%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Gaziantep FK
55%
to score before half-time
Çorum FK
44%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

Gaziantep FKÇorum FK
10.91st-half shots5.8
1.71st-half shots on target2.4
1.81st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

60%Chance of 10+ shots12%
41%Chance of 12+ shots<10%
77%Chance of 1+ shots on target87%
25%Chance of 3+ shots on target40%
77%Chance of 1+ corners84%
26%Chance of 3+ corners36%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Gaziantep FK10.913.6
Shots · Çorum FK5.87.1
Shots on target · Gaziantep FK1.72.3
Shots on target · Çorum FK2.43.4
Corners · Gaziantep FK1.82.0
Corners · Çorum FK2.22.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Gaziantep FK form (last 6)W L W D L L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Çorum FK in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK?

Çorum FK beat Gaziantep FK 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Gaziantep FK at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Çorum FK 36%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Gaziantep FK had 13 shots (2 on target) to Çorum FK's 13 (7), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.4.

What was the final score in Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK?

Gaziantep FK 0–3 Çorum FK, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gaziantep FK 39%, the draw 26% and Çorum FK 36%.

What were the stats in Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK?

Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.4, Shots 13–13, Shots on target 2–7, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 3–3, Corners 9–5, Saves 4–2, Fouls 6–10, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK?

No. It finished 0–3, so Gaziantep FK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Gaziantep FK or draw 64%, it finished Çorum FK won (36% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Gaziantep FK form →Çorum FK form →