Çorum FK beat Gaziantep FK 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Gaziantep FK at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Çorum FK 36%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Gaziantep FK had 13 shots (2 on target) to Çorum FK's 13 (7), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Çorum FK beat Gaziantep FK 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Gaziantep FK at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Çorum FK 36%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Gaziantep FK had 13 shots (2 on target) to Çorum FK's 13 (7), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.4.
Gaziantep FK 0–3 Çorum FK, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gaziantep FK 39%, the draw 26% and Çorum FK 36%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.4, Shots 13–13, Shots on target 2–7, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 3–3, Corners 9–5, Saves 4–2, Fouls 6–10, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
No. It finished 0–3, so Gaziantep FK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Gaziantep FK or draw 64%, it finished Çorum FK won (36% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.