How it finished
Getafe beat Málaga 1–0. Bawler's model had Getafe in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Getafe had 19 shots (7 on target) to Málaga's 11 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Getafe vs Málaga?
Getafe beat Málaga 1–0. Bawler's model had Getafe in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Getafe had 19 shots (7 on target) to Málaga's 11 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Getafe vs Málaga?
Getafe 1–0 Málaga, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Getafe 45%, the draw 30% and Málaga 25%.
What were the stats in Getafe vs Málaga?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.5, Shots 19–11, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 11–6, Big chances 1–0, Corners 5–9, Saves 4–6, Fouls 16–16, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 4–2.
Did both teams score in Getafe vs Málaga?
No. It finished 1–0, so Málaga failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 44% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Getafe vs Málaga right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Getafe or draw 75%, it finished Getafe won (45% called); Total goals — we said 2.2, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 44%, it finished No.