How it finished
Académico de Viseu beat Gil Vicente 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Gil Vicente at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Académico de Viseu 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Gil Vicente had 34 shots (7 on target) to Académico de Viseu's 6 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 0.3, so Gil Vicente created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu?
Académico de Viseu beat Gil Vicente 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Gil Vicente at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Académico de Viseu 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Gil Vicente had 34 shots (7 on target) to Académico de Viseu's 6 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 0.3, so Gil Vicente created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu?
Gil Vicente 0–1 Académico de Viseu, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gil Vicente 46%, the draw 27% and Académico de Viseu 27%.
What were the stats in Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.3, Shots 34–6, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 25–2, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–1, Saves 0–7, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu?
No. It finished 0–1, so Gil Vicente failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Gil Vicente vs Académico de Viseu right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Gil Vicente or draw 73%, it finished Académico de Viseu won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Missed.