How it finished
Gil Vicente and Maritimo drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Gil Vicente at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Gil Vicente had 19 shots (4 on target) to Maritimo's 10 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Gil Vicente vs Maritimo?
Gil Vicente and Maritimo drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Gil Vicente at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Gil Vicente had 19 shots (4 on target) to Maritimo's 10 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.9.
What was the final score in Gil Vicente vs Maritimo?
Gil Vicente 1–1 Maritimo, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gil Vicente 57%, the draw 24% and Maritimo 19%.
What were the stats in Gil Vicente vs Maritimo?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.9, Shots 19–10, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 3–3, Corners 4–3, Saves 2–3, Fouls 9–13, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Gil Vicente vs Maritimo?
Yes — both Gil Vicente and Maritimo scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Gil Vicente vs Maritimo right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Gil Vicente or draw 81%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.