Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 10 Oct · 15:30 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 10 Oct · 15:30 UK
Go Ahead Eagles 47Draw 24Sparta Rotterdam 29
Our call before kickoff
71%
Go Ahead Eagles or draw
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
65%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
64%

How it finished

Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Go Ahead Eagles at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 6. Go Ahead Eagles had 17 shots (6 on target) to Sparta Rotterdam's 18 (8), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.0.

Go Ahead…Full-time statsSparta…
63%Possession37%
1.3Expected goals (xG)2.0
17Shots18
6Shots on target8
7Shots inside box10
1Big chances6
9Corners6
5Saves5
4Fouls8
0Offsides0
0Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGo Ahead Eagles or draw 71%Draw (24% called)
Total goals3.36
Both teams to score65%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Go Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam
1.9
Goals+0.4
1.5
21.5
Shots+5.6
15.9
9.0
On target+4.1
4.9
7.5
Corners+1.2
6.3
Go Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.3
9.3
Shots+2.0
7.3
4.0
On target+2.0
2.0
3.5
Corners+0.6
2.9
Go Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam
1.3
Goals+0.2
1.1
12.2
Shots+3.6
8.7
5.0
On target+2.1
2.9
4.0
Corners+0.7
3.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Go Ahead Eagles to score85%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Sparta Rotterdam to score77%
Over 2.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Go Ahead Eagles
55%
to score before half-time
Sparta Rotterdam
34%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Go Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam
9.31st-half shots7.3
4.01st-half shots on target2.0
3.51st-half corners2.9

First-half chances

65%Chance of 8+ shots43%
44%Chance of 10+ shots23%
72%Chance of 3+ shots on target33%
37%Chance of 5+ shots on target<10%
64%Chance of 3+ corners53%
29%Chance of 5+ corners20%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Go Ahead Eagles9.312.2
Shots · Sparta Rotterdam7.38.7
Shots on target · Go Ahead Eagles4.05.0
Shots on target · Sparta Rotterdam2.02.9
Corners · Go Ahead Eagles3.54.0
Corners · Sparta Rotterdam2.93.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Go Ahead Eagles form (last 6)W L D D D D
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Go Ahead Eagles 2 · Draws 2 · Sparta Rotterdam 1
Sparta Rotterdam in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2026Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles
Aug 2025Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 Sparta Rotterdam
Feb 2025Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam
Dec 2024Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sept 2024Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Go Ahead Eagles
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Go Ahead Eagles at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 6. Go Ahead Eagles had 17 shots (6 on target) to Sparta Rotterdam's 18 (8), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.0.

What was the final score in Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Go Ahead Eagles 3–3 Sparta Rotterdam, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Go Ahead Eagles 47%, the draw 24% and Sparta Rotterdam 29%.

What were the stats in Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.0, Shots 17–18, Shots on target 6–8, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 1–6, Corners 9–6, Saves 5–5, Fouls 4–8, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 0–3.

Did both teams score in Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Yes — both Go Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Go Ahead Eagles or draw 71%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →Go Ahead Eagles form →Sparta Rotterdam form →