Goztepe and Caykur Rizespor drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Goztepe had 25 shots (10 on target) to Caykur Rizespor's 11 (4), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Goztepe and Caykur Rizespor drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Goztepe had 25 shots (10 on target) to Caykur Rizespor's 11 (4), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 0.7.
Goztepe 2–2 Caykur Rizespor, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Goztepe 50%, the draw 24% and Caykur Rizespor 25%.
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–0.7, Shots 25–11, Shots on target 10–4, Shots inside box 18–6, Big chances 5–1, Corners 4–3, Saves 2–8, Fouls 15–9, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 5–1.
Yes — both Goztepe and Caykur Rizespor scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Goztepe or draw 75%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Goztepe to win 50%, it finished Missed.