Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi prediction — Süper Lig · Sun 23 Aug · 19:30 UK

Süper Lig · Sun 23 Aug · 19:30 UK
Goztepe 59Draw 23Genclerbirligi 18
Our call before kickoff
82%
Goztepe or draw
Missed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
52%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Genclerbirligi beat Goztepe 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Genclerbirligi 18%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Goztepe had 16 shots (6 on target) to Genclerbirligi's 10 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 1.5, so Goztepe created the better chances and still lost the game.

GoztepeFull-time statsGenclerbirligi
51%Possession49%
2.0Expected goals (xG)1.5
16Shots10
6Shots on target2
13Shots inside box8
2Big chances2
7Corners5
1Saves6
15Fouls12
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGoztepe or draw 82%Genclerbirligi won (18% called)
Total goals2.91
Both teams to score52%No
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 55%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

GoztepeGenclerbirligi
1.9
Goals+1.0
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Goztepe to score85%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals68%
Genclerbirligi to score62%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Goztepe 4 · Draws 0 · Genclerbirligi 1
Genclerbirligi in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2026Gençlerbirliği 0–2 Göztepe
Nov 2025Göztepe 1–0 Gençlerbirliği
Apr 2024Göztepe 2–0 Gençlerbirliği
Dec 2023Gençlerbirliği 0–3 Göztepe
Feb 2023Gençlerbirliği 1–0 Göztepe
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi?

Genclerbirligi beat Goztepe 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Genclerbirligi 18%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Goztepe had 16 shots (6 on target) to Genclerbirligi's 10 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 1.5, so Goztepe created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi?

Goztepe 0–1 Genclerbirligi, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Goztepe 59%, the draw 23% and Genclerbirligi 18%.

What were the stats in Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.5, Shots 16–10, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 2–2, Corners 7–5, Saves 1–6, Fouls 15–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi?

No. It finished 0–1, so Goztepe failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Goztepe vs Genclerbirligi right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Goztepe or draw 82%, it finished Genclerbirligi won (18% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Goztepe form →Genclerbirligi form →