Genclerbirligi beat Goztepe 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Genclerbirligi 18%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Goztepe had 16 shots (6 on target) to Genclerbirligi's 10 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 1.5, so Goztepe created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Genclerbirligi beat Goztepe 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Genclerbirligi 18%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Goztepe had 16 shots (6 on target) to Genclerbirligi's 10 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 1.5, so Goztepe created the better chances and still lost the game.
Goztepe 0–1 Genclerbirligi, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Goztepe 59%, the draw 23% and Genclerbirligi 18%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.5, Shots 16–10, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 2–2, Corners 7–5, Saves 1–6, Fouls 15–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 0–1, so Goztepe failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Goztepe or draw 82%, it finished Genclerbirligi won (18% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.