How it finished
Hamburg SV beat FC Cologne 2–1. Bawler's model had Hamburg SV in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.8 goals; only 3 were scored. Hamburg SV had 12 shots (7 on target) to FC Cologne's 18 (5), with 32% of the ball against 68%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne?
Hamburg SV beat FC Cologne 2–1. Bawler's model had Hamburg SV in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.8 goals; only 3 were scored. Hamburg SV had 12 shots (7 on target) to FC Cologne's 18 (5), with 32% of the ball against 68%.
What was the final score in Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne?
Hamburg SV 2–1 FC Cologne, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hamburg SV 42%, the draw 22% and FC Cologne 36%.
What were the stats in Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne?
Full-time: Possession 32%–68%, Shots 12–18, Shots on target 7–5, Corners 3–5, Saves 4–5, Fouls 12–14, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne?
Yes — both Hamburg SV and FC Cologne scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 72% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Hamburg SV or draw 64%, it finished Hamburg SV won (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 72%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 89%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.