Hull City vs Everton prediction — Premier League · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00 UK

Premier League · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00 UK
Hull City 21Draw 24Everton 55
Our call before kickoff
79%
Everton or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
55%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Hull City and Everton drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Everton at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Hull City had 9 shots (5 on target) to Everton's 15 (7), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.7.

Hull CityFull-time statsEverton
35%Possession65%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.7
9Shots15
5Shots on target7
9Shots inside box11
2Big chances8
7Corners6
4Saves2
15Fouls4
1Offsides4
2Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callEverton or draw 79%Draw (24% called)
Total goals2.94
Both teams to score55%Yes
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 55%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Hull CityEverton
1.1
Goals+0.8
1.8
14.9
Shots+0.9
14.0
4.0
On target+1.1
5.2
3.4
Corners+1.9
5.3
Hull CityEverton
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.5
7.0
Shots+0.6
6.4
2.0
On target+0.3
2.3
1.6
Corners+0.9
2.5
Hull CityEverton
0.6
Goals+0.7
1.3
7.9
Shots+0.3
7.6
2.0
On target+0.9
2.9
1.8
Corners+1.0
2.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Everton to score84%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Hull City to score65%

First half — what we expected

Hull City
47%
to score before half-time
Everton
53%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

Hull CityEverton
7.01st-half shots6.4
2.01st-half shots on target2.3
1.61st-half corners2.5

First-half chances

64%Chance of 6+ shots57%
40%Chance of 8+ shots33%
83%Chance of 1+ shots on target87%
33%Chance of 3+ shots on target40%
74%Chance of 1+ corners88%
23%Chance of 3+ corners43%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Hull City7.07.9
Shots · Everton6.47.6
Shots on target · Hull City2.02.0
Shots on target · Everton2.32.9
Corners · Hull City1.61.8
Corners · Everton2.52.8
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Hull City form (last 6)W D L D L D
Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Hull City 1 · Draws 2 · Everton 2
Everton in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Jan 2022Hull City 2–3 Everton
Mar 2017Everton 4–0 Hull City
Dec 2016Hull City 2–2 Everton
Jan 2015Hull City 2–0 Everton
Dec 2014Everton 1–1 Hull City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Hull City vs Everton?

Hull City and Everton drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Everton at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Hull City had 9 shots (5 on target) to Everton's 15 (7), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.7.

What was the final score in Hull City vs Everton?

Hull City 2–2 Everton, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hull City 21%, the draw 24% and Everton 55%.

What were the stats in Hull City vs Everton?

Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.7, Shots 9–15, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 2–8, Corners 7–6, Saves 4–2, Fouls 15–4, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in Hull City vs Everton?

Yes — both Hull City and Everton scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Hull City vs Everton right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Everton or draw 79%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Hull City form →Everton form →