Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 19 Sept · 15:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 19 Sept · 15:00 UK
Kocaelispor 46Draw 29Gaziantep FK 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
Kocaelispor or draw
Landed
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
68%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
47%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
42%

How it finished

Kocaelispor beat Gaziantep FK 2–0. Bawler's model had Kocaelispor in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 2. Kocaelispor had 19 shots (5 on target) to Gaziantep FK's 16 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%.

KocaelisporFull-time statsGaziantep FK
51%Possession49%
19Shots16
5Shots on target3
1Corners2
3Saves3
16Fouls12
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callKocaelispor or draw 74%Kocaelispor won (46% called)
Total goals2.42
Both teams to score47%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

KocaelisporGaziantep FK
1.4
Goals+0.4
1.0
17.1
Shots+4.6
12.5
4.5
On target+0.5
4.0
3.5
Corners+0.6
4.1
KocaelisporGaziantep FK
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
8.3
Shots+2.6
5.7
2.1
On target+0.2
1.8
1.7
Corners+0.3
1.9
KocaelisporGaziantep FK
0.9
Goals+0.3
0.6
8.7
Shots+2.0
6.8
2.4
On target+0.3
2.1
1.9
Corners+0.3
2.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals78%
Kocaelispor to score75%
Over 1.5 goals69%
Gaziantep FK to score62%

First half — what we expected

Kocaelispor
50%
to score before half-time
Gaziantep FK
36%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%

KocaelisporGaziantep FK
8.31st-half shots5.7
2.11st-half shots on target1.8
1.71st-half corners1.9

First-half chances

67%Chance of 7+ shots36%
44%Chance of 9+ shots17%
84%Chance of 1+ shots on target80%
34%Chance of 3+ shots on target29%
75%Chance of 1+ corners81%
24%Chance of 3+ corners31%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Kocaelispor8.38.7
Shots · Gaziantep FK5.76.8
Shots on target · Kocaelispor2.12.4
Shots on target · Gaziantep FK1.82.1
Corners · Kocaelispor1.71.9
Corners · Gaziantep FK1.92.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 4Kocaelispor 1 · Draws 0 · Gaziantep FK 3
Gaziantep FK in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Feb 2026Kocaelispor 3–0 Gaziantep FK
Jan 2026Gaziantep FK 1–0 Kocaelispor
Sept 2025Gaziantep FK 2–0 Kocaelispor
Dec 2020Gaziantep FK 3–2 Kocaelispor
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?

Kocaelispor beat Gaziantep FK 2–0. Bawler's model had Kocaelispor in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 2. Kocaelispor had 19 shots (5 on target) to Gaziantep FK's 16 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%.

What was the final score in Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?

Kocaelispor 2–0 Gaziantep FK, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kocaelispor 46%, the draw 29% and Gaziantep FK 26%.

What were the stats in Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Shots 19–16, Shots on target 5–3, Corners 1–2, Saves 3–3, Fouls 16–12, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?

No. It finished 2–0, so Gaziantep FK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Kocaelispor or draw 74%, it finished Kocaelispor won (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Kocaelispor form →Gaziantep FK form →