Konyaspor and Istanbul Basaksehir drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Istanbul Basaksehir at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Konyaspor had 9 shots (3 on target) to Istanbul Basaksehir's 7 (0), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Konyaspor and Istanbul Basaksehir drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Istanbul Basaksehir at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Konyaspor had 9 shots (3 on target) to Istanbul Basaksehir's 7 (0), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.1.
Konyaspor 0–0 Istanbul Basaksehir, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Konyaspor 37%, the draw 26% and Istanbul Basaksehir 37%.
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–1.1, Shots 9–7, Shots on target 3–0, Shots inside box 4–3, Big chances 0–2, Corners 3–5, Saves 0–3, Fouls 8–11, Offsides 5–0.
No. It finished 0–0, so Konyaspor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Istanbul Basaksehir or draw 63%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.