How it finished
Kocaelispor beat Konyaspor 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Konyaspor at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kocaelispor 27%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Konyaspor had 10 shots (0 on target) to Kocaelispor's 15 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 0.7, so Konyaspor created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 59%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Kocaelispor beat Konyaspor 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Konyaspor at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Kocaelispor 27%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Konyaspor had 10 shots (0 on target) to Kocaelispor's 15 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 0.7, so Konyaspor created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Konyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Konyaspor 44%, the draw 29% and Kocaelispor 27%.
What were the stats in Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.7, Shots 10–15, Shots on target 0–7, Shots inside box 5–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 1–4, Saves 6–0, Fouls 16–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Yes — both Konyaspor and Kocaelispor scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Konyaspor or draw 73%, it finished Kocaelispor won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes.