How it finished
Le Mans beat Lorient 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Lorient at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Le Mans 36%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Le Mans had 11 shots (7 on target) to Lorient's 9 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 1.0, so Lorient created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Le Mans vs Lorient?
Le Mans beat Lorient 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Lorient at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Le Mans 36%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Le Mans had 11 shots (7 on target) to Lorient's 9 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 0.8 to 1.0, so Lorient created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Le Mans vs Lorient?
Le Mans 2–1 Lorient, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Le Mans 36%, the draw 26% and Lorient 38%.
What were the stats in Le Mans vs Lorient?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.0, Shots 11–9, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 6–6, Big chances 1–2, Corners 1–3, Saves 1–5, Fouls 15–15, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Le Mans vs Lorient?
Yes — both Le Mans and Lorient scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Le Mans vs Lorient right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lorient or draw 64%, it finished Le Mans won (36% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.