Levante vs Sevilla prediction — LaLiga · Mon 12 Oct · 20:00 UK

LaLiga · Mon 12 Oct · 20:00 UK
Levante 46Draw 26Sevilla 28
Our call before kickoff
73%
Levante or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
61%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Levante and Sevilla drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Levante at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Levante had 20 shots (8 on target) to Sevilla's 18 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 2.5.

LevanteFull-time statsSevilla
57%Possession43%
2.0Expected goals (xG)2.5
20Shots18
8Shots on target5
12Shots inside box14
3Big chances5
5Corners2
2Saves5
7Fouls17
0Offsides0
2Yellow cards6
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLevante or draw 73%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.86
Both teams to score56%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LevanteSevilla
1.6
Goals+0.4
1.2
13.4
Shots+5.8
19.2
3.1
On target+3.0
6.1
2.9
Corners+1.5
4.4
LevanteSevilla
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.3
5.7
Shots+3.0
8.7
1.2
On target+1.3
2.6
1.4
Corners+0.7
2.1
LevanteSevilla
1.2
Goals+0.3
0.9
7.7
Shots+2.8
10.5
1.9
On target+1.7
3.5
1.5
Corners+0.8
2.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Levante to score80%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Sevilla to score70%
Under 3.5 goals69%

First half — what we expected

Levante
44%
to score before half-time
Sevilla
31%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 61%

LevanteSevilla
5.71st-half shots8.7
1.21st-half shots on target2.6
1.41st-half corners2.1

First-half chances

25%Chance of 8+ shots59%
11%Chance of 10+ shots38%
34%Chance of 2+ shots on target69%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target27%
68%Chance of 1+ corners83%
18%Chance of 3+ corners34%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Levante5.77.7
Shots · Sevilla8.710.5
Shots on target · Levante1.21.9
Shots on target · Sevilla2.63.5
Corners · Levante1.41.5
Corners · Sevilla2.12.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Levante form (last 6)L D W D L L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Levante 2 · Draws 0 · Sevilla 3
Sevilla in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026Levante 2–0 Sevilla
Jan 2026Sevilla 0–3 Levante
Apr 2022Levante 2–3 Sevilla
Oct 2021Sevilla 5–3 Levante
Apr 2021Levante 0–1 Sevilla
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Levante vs Sevilla?

Levante and Sevilla drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Levante at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Levante had 20 shots (8 on target) to Sevilla's 18 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 2.5.

What was the final score in Levante vs Sevilla?

Levante 3–3 Sevilla, played on 12 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Levante 46%, the draw 26% and Sevilla 28%.

What were the stats in Levante vs Sevilla?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–2.5, Shots 20–18, Shots on target 8–5, Shots inside box 12–14, Big chances 3–5, Corners 5–2, Saves 2–5, Fouls 7–17, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–6, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Levante vs Sevilla?

Yes — both Levante and Sevilla scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Levante vs Sevilla right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Levante or draw 73%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Levante form →Sevilla form →