What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Levante vs Athletic Club?
Bawler's model rates this match: Levante are favoured (41% win probability vs 32% for Athletic Club, 27% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Levante vs Athletic Club?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Levante 1-1 Athletic Club (12.6% probability). Expected total goals: 2.8.
How does Bawler predict Levante vs Athletic Club?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Levante 41%, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Levante vs Athletic Club?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 57% chance. That is based on Levante expecting 1.50 goals and Athletic Club 1.31.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Levante vs Athletic Club?
Bawler's model expects 2.8 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 53%.