How it finished
Swansea City beat Lincoln City 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Lincoln City at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Swansea City 27%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Lincoln City had 13 shots (4 on target) to Swansea City's 10 (4), with 31% of the ball against 69%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 0.8, so Lincoln City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 58%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Lincoln City vs Swansea City?
Swansea City beat Lincoln City 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Lincoln City at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Swansea City 27%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Lincoln City had 13 shots (4 on target) to Swansea City's 10 (4), with 31% of the ball against 69%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 0.8, so Lincoln City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Lincoln City vs Swansea City?
Lincoln City 1–2 Swansea City, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lincoln City 45%, the draw 28% and Swansea City 27%.
What were the stats in Lincoln City vs Swansea City?
Full-time: Possession 31%–69%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.8, Shots 13–10, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 8–3, Big chances 2–1, Corners 2–0, Saves 2–3, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Lincoln City vs Swansea City?
Yes — both Lincoln City and Swansea City scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lincoln City vs Swansea City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lincoln City or draw 73%, it finished Swansea City won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes.