How it finished
Liverpool and Nottingham Forest drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Liverpool at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Liverpool had 13 shots (4 on target) to Nottingham Forest's 12 (3), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Liverpool and Nottingham Forest drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Liverpool at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Liverpool had 13 shots (4 on target) to Nottingham Forest's 12 (3), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.3.
What was the final score in Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Liverpool 53%, the draw 24% and Nottingham Forest 23%.
What were the stats in Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–2.3, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 1–5, Corners 3–5, Saves 1–2, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 4–2.
Did both teams score in Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?
Yes — both Liverpool and Nottingham Forest scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Liverpool or draw 77%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Liverpool to win 53%, it finished Missed.