Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sat 19 Sept · 19:45 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sat 19 Sept · 19:45 UK
Lommel SK 47Draw 27KV Mechelen 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
Lommel SK or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
52%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
49%

How it finished

Lommel SK and KV Mechelen drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Lommel SK at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Lommel SK had 8 shots (0 on target) to KV Mechelen's 15 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.3.

Lommel SKFull-time statsKV Mechelen
53%Possession47%
0.5Expected goals (xG)1.3
8Shots15
0Shots on target4
7Shots inside box11
0Big chances2
5Corners6
4Saves0
12Fouls16
1Offsides2
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLommel SK or draw 74%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.60
Both teams to score52%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 74%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Lommel SKKV Mechelen
1.5
Goals+0.4
1.1
14.8
Shots+3.4
18.2
3.4
On target+0.6
4.0
3.6
Corners+2.4
6.0
Lommel SKKV Mechelen
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
6.7
Shots+1.7
8.5
1.5
On target+0.4
1.9
1.7
Corners+1.1
2.8
Lommel SKKV Mechelen
1.0
Goals+0.4
0.7
8.0
Shots+1.6
9.7
1.8
On target+0.2
2.1
1.9
Corners+1.2
3.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Lommel SK to score79%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
KV Mechelen to score67%

First half — what we expected

Lommel SK
49%
to score before half-time
KV Mechelen
42%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Lommel SKKV Mechelen
6.71st-half shots8.5
1.51st-half shots on target1.9
1.71st-half corners2.8

First-half chances

48%Chance of 7+ shots68%
27%Chance of 9+ shots46%
73%Chance of 1+ shots on target80%
21%Chance of 3+ shots on target29%
47%Chance of 2+ corners72%
12%Chance of 4+ corners32%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Lommel SK6.78.0
Shots · KV Mechelen8.59.7
Shots on target · Lommel SK1.51.8
Shots on target · KV Mechelen1.92.1
Corners · Lommel SK1.71.9
Corners · KV Mechelen2.83.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Lommel SK 2 · Draws 1 · KV Mechelen 2
KV Mechelen in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2019Lommel 1–1 KV Mechelen
Nov 2018KV Mechelen 3–2 Lommel
Sept 2018Lommel 0–3 KV Mechelen
Aug 2018KV Mechelen 1–2 Lommel
Mar 2015Lommel 2–1 KV Mechelen
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen?

Lommel SK and KV Mechelen drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Lommel SK at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Lommel SK had 8 shots (0 on target) to KV Mechelen's 15 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen?

Lommel SK 0–0 KV Mechelen, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lommel SK 47%, the draw 27% and KV Mechelen 26%.

What were the stats in Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.3, Shots 8–15, Shots on target 0–4, Shots inside box 7–11, Big chances 0–2, Corners 5–6, Saves 4–0, Fouls 12–16, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen?

No. It finished 0–0, so Lommel SK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lommel SK or draw 74%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Lommel SK form →KV Mechelen form →