Lommel SK and KV Mechelen drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Lommel SK at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Lommel SK had 8 shots (0 on target) to KV Mechelen's 15 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Lommel SK and KV Mechelen drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Lommel SK at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals; nobody scored. Lommel SK had 8 shots (0 on target) to KV Mechelen's 15 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.3.
Lommel SK 0–0 KV Mechelen, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lommel SK 47%, the draw 27% and KV Mechelen 26%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.3, Shots 8–15, Shots on target 0–4, Shots inside box 7–11, Big chances 0–2, Corners 5–6, Saves 4–0, Fouls 12–16, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–4.
No. It finished 0–0, so Lommel SK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lommel SK or draw 74%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Missed.