How it finished
Málaga and Espanyol drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Málaga at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Málaga had 15 shots (7 on target) to Espanyol's 9 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Málaga vs Espanyol?
Málaga and Espanyol drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Málaga at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Málaga had 15 shots (7 on target) to Espanyol's 9 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Málaga vs Espanyol?
Málaga 1–1 Espanyol, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Málaga 37%, the draw 28% and Espanyol 35%.
What were the stats in Málaga vs Espanyol?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.0, Shots 15–9, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 9–6, Big chances 0–1, Corners 8–2, Saves 2–6, Fouls 10–15, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 4–5.
Did both teams score in Málaga vs Espanyol?
Yes — both Málaga and Espanyol scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Málaga vs Espanyol right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Málaga or draw 65%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 54%, it finished Landed.