How it finished
Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Manchester United at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Manchester United had 12 shots (4 on target) to Tottenham Hotspur's 12 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Manchester United at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Manchester United had 12 shots (4 on target) to Tottenham Hotspur's 12 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.
What was the final score in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham Hotspur, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Manchester United 60%, the draw 23% and Tottenham Hotspur 17%.
What were the stats in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.6, Shots 12–12, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 1–4, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 13–16, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 4–3, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Yes — both Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Manchester United to win 60%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Manchester United or draw 83%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 54%, it finished Landed.