Bawler / England: Premier League / Tottenham
Team profile

Tottenham Prediction

Per-game numbers from 48 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.8
a game
12.4 faced
On target
4.2
a game
4.0 faced
Goals
1.5 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 48 matches
Next match
30%
Tottenham win chance
at Brentford · Sat 22 Aug 16:30

Tottenham prediction: for Tottenham's next match — Brentford vs Tottenham on Saturday 22 Aug, 16:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Brentford are favoured (44%).

Tottenham sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.24 expected goals a game and conceding 1.47. Next up is a trip to Brentford, where the model has them as underdogs at 30%.

Tottenham in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.5
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 1.5Away 1.5
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.6
Home 6.0Away 4.7
11.8
Shots · per game
faced 12.4
Home 13.1Away 10.5
4.2
On target · per game
faced 4.0
Home 4.4Away 3.9
Last 6 games
24 May
1-0
vs Everton
7-7
19 May
1-2
@ Chelsea
4-3
11 May
1-1
vs Leeds
14-2
03 May
2-1
@ Aston Villa
5-5
25 Apr
1-0
@ Wolverhampton
5-5
18 Apr
2-2
vs Brighton
7-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Brentford · Saturday 22 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Win
30%
Tottenham
Draw
26%
Loss
44%
Brentford
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Tottenham compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.24
Below average
Goals against
1.47
Leakier than most
Record
2W 2D 2L
6 settled
Real goals
1.2 – 1.5
For / against, per match
Scored1.24
Conceded1.47

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.44 scored, 1.47 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.24 xG per match · -0.20 above the England: Premier League average of 1.44.

How Bawler has done on Tottenham

67%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 6
Result50%2/4
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Wed 26 Augvs Charlton Athletic

Recent matches (last 6)

Sun 24 Mayvs Everton
High confidence: X2
Tue 19 May@ Chelsea
High confidence: 1X
Mon 11 Mayvs Leeds United
High confidence: X2
Sun 03 May@ Aston Villa
High confidence: 1X
Sat 18 Aprvs Brighton
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 22 Marvs Nottingham
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INSandro TonaliCMfrom Newcastle United€108m
INMateus FernandesCMfrom West Ham United€100m
INJan Paul van HeckeCBfrom Brighton & Hove Albion€60m
INMarcos SenesiCBfrom AFC BournemouthFree transfer
INAndrew RobertsonLBfrom LiverpoolFree transfer
INMartin DúbravkaGKfrom BurnleyFree transfer
OUTLuka VuskovicCBto Brighton & Hove Albion€54m
OUTCristian RomeroCBto Atletico Madrid€40m
OUTDjed SpenceLBto Inter€35m
OUTWill LankshearSTto Middlesbrough€12m
OUTYves BissoumaDMto Free agentFree transfer
OUTAlejo VelizSTto Bahia€9m
OUTAshley PhillipsCBto Middlesbrough€8.2m
OUTAlfie DevineCMto Preston North End€7m

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

FPL assets at this club (2026/27 projections)

Van HeckeVan HeckeDEF · £5.0m · 8.9% owned3.4 pts
TonaliTonaliMID · £5.5m · 4.1% owned2.9 pts
TelTelMID · £6.0m · 0.5% owned2.7 pts
KinskyKinskyGKP · £4.5m · 19.8% owned2.6 pts
Pedro PorroPedro PorroDEF · £5.5m · 23.2% owned2.6 pts
Next 5:BRE (A)NEW (H)NFO (A)EVE (H)AVL (H)

Full predicted points table → · Fixture difficulty matrix →

More on Tottenham and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly