How it finished
FC Porto beat Maritimo 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Porto in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Maritimo had 7 shots (4 on target) to FC Porto's 19 (9), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Maritimo vs FC Porto?
FC Porto beat Maritimo 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Porto in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Maritimo had 7 shots (4 on target) to FC Porto's 19 (9), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.1.
What was the final score in Maritimo vs FC Porto?
Maritimo 1–2 FC Porto, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Maritimo 13%, the draw 21% and FC Porto 66%.
What were the stats in Maritimo vs FC Porto?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–2.1, Shots 7–19, Shots on target 4–9, Shots inside box 2–15, Big chances 0–5, Corners 2–6, Saves 7–3, Fouls 15–15, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Maritimo vs FC Porto?
Yes — both Maritimo and FC Porto scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Maritimo vs FC Porto right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Porto to win 66%, it finished FC Porto won (66% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes.