Marseille beat Strasbourg 4–0. Bawler's model had Marseille in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Marseille had 14 shots (8 on target) to Strasbourg's 5 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Marseille beat Strasbourg 4–0. Bawler's model had Marseille in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Marseille had 14 shots (8 on target) to Strasbourg's 5 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.2.
Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg, played on 21 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Marseille 45%, the draw 25% and Strasbourg 30%.
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.2, Shots 14–5, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 9–3, Big chances 3–0, Corners 3–4, Saves 2–4, Fouls 6–12, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–2, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 4–0, so Strasbourg failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Marseille or draw 70%, it finished Marseille won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.