How it finished
Udinese beat Monza 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Monza at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Udinese 35%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 5. Monza had 14 shots (5 on target) to Udinese's 12 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 0.9, so Monza created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Monza vs Udinese?
Udinese beat Monza 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Monza at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Udinese 35%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 5. Monza had 14 shots (5 on target) to Udinese's 12 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 0.9, so Monza created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Monza vs Udinese?
Monza 2–3 Udinese, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Monza 37%, the draw 28% and Udinese 35%.
What were the stats in Monza vs Udinese?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.9, Shots 14–12, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 10–10, Big chances 3–0, Corners 3–3, Saves 2–3, Fouls 10–12, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Monza vs Udinese?
Yes — both Monza and Udinese scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Monza vs Udinese right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Monza or draw 65%, it finished Udinese won (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.