How it finished
Nashville SC beat Toronto FC 2–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Nashville SC had 23 shots (11 on target) to Toronto FC's 11 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
Nashville SC beat Toronto FC 2–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Nashville SC had 23 shots (11 on target) to Toronto FC's 11 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nashville SC 58%, the draw 24% and Toronto FC 18%.
What were the stats in Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–0.5, Shots 23–11, Shots on target 11–3, Shots inside box 17–5, Big chances 5–0, Corners 9–3, Saves 3–9, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 5–0.
Did both teams score in Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
No. It finished 2–0, so Toronto FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nashville SC or draw 82%, it finished Nashville SC won (58% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.