How it finished
NEC Nijmegen and Go Ahead Eagles drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured NEC Nijmegen at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. NEC Nijmegen had 17 shots (5 on target) to Go Ahead Eagles' 14 (6), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?
NEC Nijmegen and Go Ahead Eagles drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured NEC Nijmegen at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. NEC Nijmegen had 17 shots (5 on target) to Go Ahead Eagles' 14 (6), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.3.
What was the final score in NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?
NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with NEC Nijmegen 51%, the draw 22% and Go Ahead Eagles 26%.
What were the stats in NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.3, Shots 17–14, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 1–6, Corners 5–7, Saves 5–4, Fouls 8–6, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Yes — both NEC Nijmegen and Go Ahead Eagles scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said NEC Nijmegen or draw 74%, it finished Draw (22% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said NEC Nijmegen to win 51%, it finished Missed.