Nice and Lorient drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Lorient at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Nice had 14 shots (1 on target) to Lorient's 10 (2), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Nice and Lorient drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Lorient at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Nice had 14 shots (1 on target) to Lorient's 10 (2), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.
Nice 0–0 Lorient, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nice 36%, the draw 27% and Lorient 37%.
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.2, Shots 14–10, Shots on target 1–2, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 1–5, Corners 9–3, Saves 2–1, Fouls 15–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–0.
No. It finished 0–0, so Nice failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lorient or draw 64%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.