Nice vs Lorient prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug · 19:45 UK
Nice 36Draw 27Lorient 37
Our call before kickoff
64%
Lorient or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
52%

How it finished

Nice and Lorient drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Lorient at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Nice had 14 shots (1 on target) to Lorient's 10 (2), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.

NiceFull-time statsLorient
60%Possession40%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.2
14Shots10
1Shots on target2
8Shots inside box8
1Big chances5
9Corners3
2Saves1
15Fouls8
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLorient or draw 64%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.70
Both teams to score56%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 76%Missed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

NiceLorient
1.4
Goals
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals76%
Lorient to score75%
Nice to score74%
Under 3.5 goals70%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Nice 1 · Draws 3 · Lorient 1
Lorient in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Mar 2026Lorient 0–0 Nice
Feb 2026Nice 3–3 Lorient
Nov 2025Lorient 3–1 Nice
Apr 2024Nice 3–0 Lorient
Aug 2023Lorient 1–1 Nice
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Nice vs Lorient?

Nice and Lorient drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Lorient at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Nice had 14 shots (1 on target) to Lorient's 10 (2), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Nice vs Lorient?

Nice 0–0 Lorient, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nice 36%, the draw 27% and Lorient 37%.

What were the stats in Nice vs Lorient?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.2, Shots 14–10, Shots on target 1–2, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 1–5, Corners 9–3, Saves 2–1, Fouls 15–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Nice vs Lorient?

No. It finished 0–0, so Nice failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Nice vs Lorient right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lorient or draw 64%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Nice form →Lorient form →